Archive for December 2023

While the Fed is an important driver in the economy, it isn’t the only factor that shapes long-term interest rates for commercial real estate.  We saw interest rates move independently of the Fed’s actions in the year 2000.  At that time, the Fed had abandoned their two year fight against inflation and turned on its…

Santa came early for some commercial real estate owners who locked a rate in the past week.   The 10YR US Treasury yields dipped then rallied last week, declining to 4.11% before bouncing back to current levels near 4.25%.  Is this dip and then increase back to the prior week’s levels a sign of a…

  This past week, commercial real estate owners caught a huge break.  The 10YR treasury yields fell almost 0.30% throughout the week, and are 0.80% lower than their high of ~5.00% in mid October. Not even Friday’s comments by Fed Chair Powell that “rate cuts are premature” stopped yields from falling.  Short term yields (1MO…